LFLWeek 2

TLN Pirates vs ZYB - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
ZYB ZYB
Jul 29, 16:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
ZYB
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates64.9% ZYB35.1%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1647
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 42.5%
VS
ZYB Esport
Elo Rating 1359
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 11W - 24L (31.4%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 57.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +431 Elo
Impact 21.4%
TLN Pirates
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +237
Impact 11.1%
TLN Pirates
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +42.3% expected WR
Impact 9.2%
TLN Pirates
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
TLN Pirates +20%
Impact 7%
TLN Pirates
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
TLN Pirates +692
Impact 4.6%
TLN Pirates
6
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0.22
Impact 4%
TLN Pirates
7
Head-to-Head History
ZYB Esport +14.9% WR
ZYB Esport leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact 2.3%
Counts for TLN Pirates The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.22
Impact 1.9%
TLN Pirates
9
History Depth
TLN Pirates +0.417
Impact 1%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
ZYB Esport RED
Higher first blood rate