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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesSolary
FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates25.5%
Solary74.5%
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Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1647
Tournament Record
3-2
(8-8)
Overall Record
46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
59.9%
VS
SolaryElo Rating
1780
Tournament Record
1-2
(3-5)
Overall Record
125W - 69L (64.4%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
40.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Solary +199 Elo
Impact
31.8%
Solary
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +25.9% expected WR
Impact
16.4%
Solary
3
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +19.9% WR
Impact
15.3%
TLN Pirates
4
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
10%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Solary +738
Impact
6.3%
Solary
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Solary +414
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
5.2%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +76
Impact
4.8%
Solary
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Solary +57
Impact
3.7%
Solary
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +9%
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
2.2%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.029
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
1.3%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Solary
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)