LFLPlayoffs

TLN Pirates vs Galions — LFL

VS
Aug 26, 16:00
Bo5
Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Galions
LightGBM Best in LFL Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 57% 28/49! Below 65% accuracy in LFL (sample of 49). This model has been less reliable than usual in this league — weight its call accordingly.
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −36.4% 13/30 picks
All priced picks −21.3% 27/47 picks
LightGBM Best in LFL
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 67% 30/45
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −8.3% 16/26 picks
All priced picks −6.3% 29/43 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 65% 28/43
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 66% 29/44
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −32.6% 10/21 picks
All priced picks −9.2% 28/42 picks
No series odds published for this match yet.
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1551
Tournament Record 2-0 (4-0)
Overall Record 33W - 21L (61.1%)
Current Streak 5W
H2H Win Rate 37.5%
VS
Galions
Elo Rating 1686
Tournament Record 2-0 (4-0)
Overall Record 126W - 67L (65.3%)
Current Streak 4W
H2H Win Rate 62.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +203 Elo
Impact 51.4%Galions
2
Win Rate
Galions +4.2% WR
Impact 30.1%Fading Galions
3
Head-to-Head History
Galions +25.1% WR
Impact 11.7%Fading Galions
4
Win Streak
TLN Pirates +1 games
Impact 6.4%Fading TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Galions RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)