LFLPlayoffs

Karmine Corp Blue vs Ici Japon Corp — LFL

Karmine Corp Blue1-1
VS
Aug 20, 16:00
Bo3
Ici Japon Corp1-1
Series Predictions
Karmine Corp Blue
Ici Japon Corp
FastTree Best for confidence
58.3%
41.7%
LightGBM Best in LFL Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 57% 28/49! Below 65% accuracy in LFL (sample of 49). This model has been less reliable than usual in this league — weight its call accordingly.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 62% 943/1525
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −36.4% 13/30 picks
All priced picks −21.3% 27/47 picks
LightGBM Best in LFL
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 67% 30/45
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −8.3% 16/26 picks
All priced picks −6.3% 29/43 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 65% 28/43
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for LFL 66% 29/44
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in LFL — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −32.6% 10/21 picks
All priced picks −9.2% 28/42 picks
No series odds published for this match yet.
Head-to-Head & Form
Karmine Corp Blue
Elo Rating 1562
Tournament Record 1-1 (2-2)
Overall Record 122W - 77L (61.3%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 54.2%
VS
Ici Japon Corp. Esport
Elo Rating 1442
Tournament Record 1-1 (2-2)
Overall Record 53W - 53L (50%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 45.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Karmine Corp Blue +148 Elo
Impact 58.3%Karmine Corp Blue
2
Win Streak
Ici Japon Corp. Esport +4 games
Impact 20.7%Ici Japon Corp. Esport
3
Win Rate
Karmine Corp Blue +11.3% WR
Impact 18.5%Fading Karmine Corp Blue
4
Head-to-Head History
Karmine Corp Blue +8.3% WR
Impact 1.6%Fading Karmine Corp Blue
Scouting Report
Karmine Corp Blue BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Higher damage output
Better dragon control
Ici Japon Corp. Esport RED
Well-rounded profile