LJLPlayoffs

Arneb vs New Meta - LJL

Arneb Arneb1-2
VS
3-2New Meta New Meta
Jul 18, 08:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Arneb
New Meta
FastTree · free model
Arneb75.8% New Meta24.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Arneb
Elo Rating 1518
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 16W - 14L (53.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 35.2%
VS
New Meta
Elo Rating 1623
Tournament Record 3-2 (11-6)
Overall Record 25W - 22L (53.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 64.8%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
New Meta +157 Elo
Impact 19.7%
New Meta
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
New Meta +73
New Meta leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 18.3%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Arneb +86
Impact 13.1%
Arneb
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
New Meta +11.6%
Impact 10.7%
New Meta
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
New Meta +21.2% expected WR
Impact 9.7%
New Meta
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
New Meta +71
Impact 9.1%
New Meta
7
Head-to-Head History
New Meta +29.6% WR
Impact 7.7%
New Meta
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Arneb +169
Impact 2.9%
Arneb
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Arneb +225
Arneb leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward New Meta.
Impact 2.6%
Counts for New Meta The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Arneb +0
Arneb leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward New Meta.
Impact 2.1%
Counts for New Meta The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Arneb BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Better dragon control
New Meta RED
Higher rated overall
Better gold generation