LJLPlayoffs

Arneb vs L Guide Gaming - LJL

Jul 29, 08:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Arneb
L Guide Gaming
FastTree · free model
Arneb64.7% L Guide Gaming35.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Arneb
Elo Rating 1518
Tournament Record 1-2 (5-6)
Overall Record 16W - 14L (53.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 52.4%
VS
L Guide Gaming
Elo Rating 1521
Tournament Record 3-1 (10-6)
Overall Record 20W - 23L (46.5%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 47.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Streak
L Guide Gaming +2 games
Impact 28.9%
L Guide Gaming
2
Win Rate
Arneb +6.8% WR
Impact 16.5%
Arneb
3
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
L Guide Gaming +181
Impact 15.6%
L Guide Gaming
4
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Arneb +33
Impact 14.5%
Arneb
5
Elo Rating
L Guide Gaming +4 Elo
L Guide Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 5.2%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
L Guide Gaming +0.6% expected WR
L Guide Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 5.2%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
L Guide Gaming +2
L Guide Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Arneb.
Impact 5.2%
Counts for Arneb The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
History Depth
L Guide Gaming +0.217
Impact 4.2%
L Guide Gaming
9
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Arneb +138
Impact 3%
Arneb
10
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Arneb +227
Arneb leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward L Guide Gaming.
Impact 1.2%
Counts for L Guide Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Arneb BLUE
Stronger win record (53%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control
L Guide Gaming RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)