VCSPlayoffs

Saigon Warrior vs MVK Esports Academy - VCS

Saigon Warrior Saigon Warrior1-0
VS
1-0MVK Esports Academy MVK Esports Academy
Sep 25, 09:00·Bo5
Series Edge Premium Bo5Patch 16.18Updates after every game
Saigon Warrior
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
MVK Esports Academy
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Saigon Warrior
MVK Esports Academy
FastTree · free model
Saigon Warrior72.8% MVK Esports Academy27.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
Saigon Warriors
Elo Rating 1654
Tournament Record 1-0 (2-1)
Overall Record 42W - 21L (66.7%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 51.4%
VS
MVK Esports Academy
Elo Rating 1533
Tournament Record 1-0 (2-1)
Overall Record 28W - 16L (63.6%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 48.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Saigon Warriors +182 Elo
Impact 30.9%
Saigon Warriors
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
MVK Esports Academy +483
Impact 17.8%
MVK Esports Academy
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Saigon Warriors +24% expected WR
Impact 15.7%
Saigon Warriors
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Saigon Warriors +85
Impact 8.2%
Saigon Warriors
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Saigon Warriors +0
Impact 8.1%
Saigon Warriors
6
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
MVK Esports Academy +245
Impact 4.1%
MVK Esports Academy
7
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
MVK Esports Academy +346
Impact 3.4%
MVK Esports Academy
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Saigon Warriors +0.077
Impact 2.7%
Saigon Warriors
9
Head-to-Head History
Saigon Warriors +2.9% WR
Saigon Warriors leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward MVK Esports Academy.
Impact 2.7%
Counts for MVK Esports Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Saigon Warriors +211
Impact 2.6%
Saigon Warriors
Scouting Report
Saigon Warriors BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
MVK Esports Academy RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Better dragon control