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Series Predictions
FENNELCupid Esports


FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
FENNEL49.3%
Cupid Esports50.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNELElo Rating
1736
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
41W - 8L (83.7%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
---
VS
Cupid EsportsElo Rating
1562
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
17W - 5L (77.3%)
Current Streak
5W
H2H Win Rate
---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +61
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact
32.7%
Counts for Cupid Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
FENNEL +262 Elo
Impact
20.1%
FENNEL
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +31.9% expected WR
Impact
12.4%
FENNEL
4
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FENNEL +218
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact
9.4%
Counts for Cupid Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +4 games
Impact
7.7%
Cupid Esports
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FENNEL +121
Impact
5.2%
FENNEL
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FENNEL +0.461
Impact
3.8%
FENNEL
8
Opponent Avg Elo
FENNEL +0.461
Impact
3.3%
FENNEL
9
Win Rate
FENNEL +6.4% WR
Impact
1.3%
FENNEL
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Cupid Esports +40% WR
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact
1.3%
Counts for FENNEL
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
FENNEL
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (84%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports
RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)