FENNEL vs Cupid Esports - WSCI

Sep 23, 13:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
FENNEL
Cupid Esports
FastTree · free model
FENNEL74.8% Cupid Esports25.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
FENNEL
Elo Rating 1736
Tournament Record
Overall Record 41W - 8L (83.7%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1562
Tournament Record
Overall Record 17W - 5L (77.3%)
Current Streak 5W
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
FENNEL +262 Elo
Impact 30.5%
FENNEL
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FENNEL +31.9% expected WR
Impact 18.8%
FENNEL
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FENNEL +61
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact 16.3%
Counts for Cupid Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FENNEL +121
Impact 7.8%
FENNEL
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
FENNEL +0.461
Impact 5.8%
FENNEL
6
Opponent Avg Elo
FENNEL +0.461
Impact 5%
FENNEL
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FENNEL +218
FENNEL leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact 4.7%
Counts for Cupid Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +4 games
Impact 3.8%
Cupid Esports
9
Win Rate
FENNEL +6.4% WR
Impact 2%
FENNEL
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Cupid Esports +40% WR
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward FENNEL.
Impact 1.9%
Counts for FENNEL The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
FENNEL BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (84%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Cupid Esports RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)