EMEA MastersPlay-Ins Bracket

Avella SU Esports vs Verdant - EMEA Masters

Avella SU Esports Avella SU Esports1-0
VS
0-1Verdant Verdant
Sep 21, 15:00·Bo3
Series Edge Premium Bo3Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Avella SU Esports
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
Verdant
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Avella SU Esports
Verdant
FastTree · free model
Avella SU Esports56.8% Verdant43.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
SU Esports
Elo Rating 1543
Tournament Record 1-0 (2-0)
Overall Record 35W - 33L (51.5%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 66.6%
VS
Verdant
Elo Rating 1543
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-2)
Overall Record 88W - 49L (64.2%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 33.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SU Esports +214
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact 21.3%
Counts for Verdant The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
SU Esports +8
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact 20.2%
Counts for Verdant The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
SU Esports +3.1% expected WR
Impact 12.9%
SU Esports
4
Win Rate
Verdant +12.8% WR
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 11.4%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
SU Esports +0.235
Impact 7.6%
SU Esports
6
Elo Rating
SU Esports +22 Elo
Impact 6.6%
SU Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
SU Esports +33.3% WR
Impact 5.1%
SU Esports
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
SU Esports +193
Impact 2.9%
SU Esports
9
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Verdant +258
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 2.2%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Verdant +244
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 2%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
SU Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Verdant RED
Stronger win record (64%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Better dragon control