EMEA MastersPlay-Ins
Avella SU Esports vs Verdant - EMEA Masters
Sep 21, 15:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
Avella SU EsportsVerdant


FastTree
· free model
Avella SU Esports56.1%
Verdant43.9%
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Head-to-Head & Form
SU EsportsElo Rating
1498
Tournament Record
1-3
(1-3)
Overall Record
38W - 39L (49.4%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
65.3%
VS
VerdantElo Rating
1517
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
91W - 51L (64.1%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
34.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
SU Esports +142
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact
18.8%
Counts for Verdant
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Verdant +2.8% expected WR
Impact
11.1%
Verdant
3
Head-to-Head History
SU Esports +30.7% WR
Impact
10.6%
SU Esports
4
Win Rate
Verdant +14.7% WR
Impact
9.4%
Verdant
5
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Verdant +103
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact
8.4%
Counts for SU Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SU Esports +394
Impact
7.8%
SU Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Verdant +7
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact
5%
Counts for SU Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Streak
Verdant +1 games
Impact
4.6%
Verdant
9
H2HWin Rate Weighted
SU Esports +15.3% WR
Impact
4.4%
SU Esports
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Verdant +6.4%
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact
4.3%
Counts for SU Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
SU Esports
BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Verdant
RED
Stronger win record (64%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure