EMEA MastersPlay-Ins
UCAM Esports Club vs mCon Esports - EMEA Masters
Sep 21, 15:00·Bo3
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Series Predictions
UCAM Esports ClubmCon Esports


FastTree
· free model
UCAM Esports Club76.0%
mCon Esports24.0%
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Head-to-Head & Form
UCAM EsportsElo Rating
1622
Tournament Record
4-4
(9-7)
Overall Record
88W - 66L (57.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
64.8%
VS
mCon esportsElo Rating
1355
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
79W - 79L (50%)
Current Streak
10L
H2H Win Rate
35.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
UCAM Esports +401 Elo
Impact
25.9%
UCAM Esports
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
UCAM Esports +361
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward mCon esports.
Impact
22.6%
Counts for mCon esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
UCAM Esports +41% expected WR
Impact
12.3%
UCAM Esports
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
UCAM Esports +162
Impact
12%
UCAM Esports
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
UCAM Esports +16.3%
Impact
8.1%
UCAM Esports
6
Opponent Avg Elo
UCAM Esports +0.281
Impact
5.4%
UCAM Esports
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
UCAM Esports +943
Impact
5.3%
UCAM Esports
8
Head-to-Head History
UCAM Esports +29.5% WR
Impact
3.6%
UCAM Esports
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
UCAM Esports +0.281
Impact
1.5%
UCAM Esports
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
UCAM Esports +459
Impact
1.4%
UCAM Esports
Scouting Report
UCAM Esports
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
mCon esports
RED
Well-rounded profile