NightBirds vs Otter Side - EMEA Masters

Sep 26, 19:00·Bo1
Series Predictions
NightBirds
Otter Side
FastTree · free model
NightBirds85.1% Otter Side14.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nightbirds
Elo Rating 1682
Tournament Record
Overall Record 119W - 41L (74.4%)
Current Streak 21W
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Otter Side
Elo Rating 1504
Tournament Record 2-1 (4-3)
Overall Record 52W - 26L (66.7%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Nightbirds +265 Elo
Impact 30.9%
Nightbirds
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Nightbirds +32.2% expected WR
Impact 14.8%
Nightbirds
3
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Otter Side +761
Impact 12.7%
Otter Side
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Nightbirds +125
Impact 11%
Nightbirds
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Nightbirds +1102
Impact 8.3%
Nightbirds
6
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Nightbirds +1192
Impact 7.7%
Nightbirds
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Otter Side +0.05
Otter Side leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nightbirds.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Nightbirds The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Nightbirds +11%
Impact 3.9%
Nightbirds
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Otter Side +0.05
Impact 2.6%
Otter Side
Scouting Report
Nightbirds BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (74%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Otter Side RED
Better vision control