EMEA MastersSwiss Bracket

PCIFIC Esports vs NightBirds - EMEA Masters

PCIFIC Esports PCIFIC Esports2-1
VS
2-1NightBirds NightBirds
Sep 29, 16:00·Bo1

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Series Predictions
PCIFIC Esports
NightBirds
FastTree · free model
PCIFIC Esports26.2% NightBirds73.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
PCIFIC Esports
Elo Rating 1556
Tournament Record 2-1 (2-1)
Overall Record 40W - 35L (53.3%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Nightbirds
Elo Rating 1678
Tournament Record 2-1 (2-1)
Overall Record 121W - 42L (74.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Nightbirds +184 Elo
Impact 29.6%
Nightbirds
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
PCIFIC Esports +0.28
Impact 16.9%
PCIFIC Esports
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Nightbirds +24.3% expected WR
Impact 13.7%
Nightbirds
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Nightbirds +1041
Impact 11.3%
Nightbirds
5
Win Streak
PCIFIC Esports +3 games
Impact 6.9%
PCIFIC Esports
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Nightbirds +16.1%
Impact 5.9%
Nightbirds
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Nightbirds +1202
Impact 4.2%
Nightbirds
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Nightbirds +50
Impact 3.2%
Nightbirds
9
Opponent Avg Elo
PCIFIC Esports +0
PCIFIC Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nightbirds.
Impact 3.1%
Counts for Nightbirds The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Nightbirds +40% WR
Nightbirds leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward PCIFIC Esports.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for PCIFIC Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
PCIFIC Esports BLUE
Better vision control
Nightbirds RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (74%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output