Valerion vs Solary - EMEA Masters

Oct 6, 16:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Valerion
Solary
FastTree · free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Valerion
Elo Rating 1584
Tournament Record 4-4 (6-8)
Overall Record 68W - 45L (60.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 29.0%
VS
Solary
Elo Rating 1764
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-1)
Overall Record 120W - 65L (64.9%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 71.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Solary +269 Elo
Impact 27.5%
Solary
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Solary +32
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Valerion.
Impact 15.7%
Counts for Valerion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +32.5% expected WR
Impact 15.1%
Solary
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +20.6%
Impact 12.4%
Solary
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Valerion +198
Impact 7.4%
Valerion
6
Head-to-Head History
Solary +42.1% WR
Impact 5.1%
Solary
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +99
Impact 4.7%
Solary
8
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Solary +475
Impact 3.9%
Solary
9
Opponent Avg Elo
Valerion +0
Valerion leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for Solary The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Solary +0.35
Impact 1.8%
Solary
Scouting Report
Valerion BLUE
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Solary RED
Higher rated overall
Better vision control
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control