EMEA MastersPlay-Ins

mCon Esports vs Verdant - EMEA Masters

mCon Esports mCon Esports
VS
Verdant Verdant
Sep 22, 18:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
mCon Esports
Verdant
FastTree · free model
mCon Esports13.3% Verdant86.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
mCon esports
Elo Rating 1355
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 79W - 79L (50%)
Current Streak 10L
H2H Win Rate 35.3%
VS
Verdant
Elo Rating 1517
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 91W - 51L (64.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 64.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Verdant +235 Elo
Impact 32.7%
Verdant
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Verdant +29.4% expected WR
Impact 16.9%
Verdant
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Verdant +293
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward mCon esports.
Impact 9.8%
Counts for mCon esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Head-to-Head History
Verdant +29.5% WR
Impact 6.6%
Verdant
5
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Verdant +887
Impact 6%
Verdant
6
Opponent Avg Elo
mCon esports +0
mCon esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact 5.1%
Counts for Verdant The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Verdant +9%
Impact 5%
Verdant
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Verdant +71
Impact 4.9%
Verdant
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Verdant +0.127
Impact 4.3%
Verdant
10
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Verdant +5.9% WR
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward mCon esports.
Impact 3.5%
Counts for mCon esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
mCon esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Verdant RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)