EMEA MastersPlay-Ins Bracket

Verdant vs Avella SU Esports - EMEA Masters

Verdant Verdant1-2
VS
2-1Avella SU Esports Avella SU Esports
Sep 23, 17:00·Bo3
Series Edge Premium Bo3Patch 16.18Updates after every game
Verdant
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
Avella SU Esports
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Verdant
Avella SU Esports
FastTree · free model
Verdant41.1% Avella SU Esports58.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Verdant
Elo Rating 1517
Tournament Record 1-2 (3-4)
Overall Record 91W - 51L (64.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 33.4%
VS
SU Esports
Elo Rating 1544
Tournament Record 2-1 (4-3)
Overall Record 37W - 36L (50.7%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 66.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
SU Esports +212
SU Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Verdant.
Impact 12.7%
Counts for Verdant The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Head-to-Head History
SU Esports +33.2% WR
Impact 9.8%
SU Esports
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Verdant +223
Impact 9.7%
Verdant
4
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Verdant +149
Impact 9.5%
Verdant
5
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Verdant +230
Impact 9.2%
Verdant
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Verdant +5.4%
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 8%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo Rating
SU Esports +50 Elo
Impact 7.7%
SU Esports
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
SU Esports +7.1% expected WR
Impact 7.1%
SU Esports
9
Win Rate
Verdant +13.4% WR
Verdant leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SU Esports.
Impact 6.7%
Counts for SU Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
SU Esports +0.247
Impact 6.5%
SU Esports
Scouting Report
Verdant BLUE
Stronger win record (64%)
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
Better dragon control
SU Esports RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)