LCSRegional Qualifier

Maryville University vs Disguised - LCS

Maryville University Maryville University
VS
Disguised Disguised
Oct 7, 21:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Maryville University
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Maryville University41.0% Disguised59.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
Maryville University
Elo Rating 1454
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 37W - 27L (57.8%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Opponent Avg Elo
Disguised +0.331
Impact 40.3%
Disguised
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Disguised +0.331
Impact 14.8%
Disguised
3
Elo Rating
Maryville University +184 Elo
Impact 13.4%
Maryville University
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Maryville University +126
Impact 8.3%
Maryville University
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Maryville University +24.2% expected WR
Impact 6.9%
Maryville University
6
Win Rate
Maryville University +28.9% WR
Maryville University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 3.2%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Maryville University +28.9%
Impact 2.9%
Maryville University
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Maryville University +1003
Impact 2.6%
Maryville University
9
Head-to-Head History
Maryville University +0% WR
Impact 2.2%
Maryville University
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Maryville University +709
Impact 1.8%
Maryville University
Scouting Report
Maryville University BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile