Make this matchup yours
Create a free account to compare predictions, track your picks and unlock one Premium match view each week.
Three models + ConsensusAdvanced marketsDetailed match analysis
1One free unlock each weekNo payment card required for the weekly report.
Create a free account
Series Predictions
DisguisedCupid Esports
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
Disguised47.9%
Cupid Esports52.1%
Sign in to track this pick
Head-to-Head & Form
DisguisedElo Rating
1247
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak
4L
H2H Win Rate
---
VS
Cupid EsportsElo Rating
1579
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +3
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact
25.6%
Counts for Disguised
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +372 Elo
Impact
24.4%
Cupid Esports
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Disguised +0.05
Impact
19.3%
Disguised
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +39.5% expected WR
Impact
10.9%
Cupid Esports
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cupid Esports +28.9%
Impact
3.5%
Cupid Esports
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +1397
Impact
3.3%
Cupid Esports
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cupid Esports +890
Impact
3.2%
Cupid Esports
8
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +3 games
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact
3.1%
Counts for Disguised
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Head-to-Head History
Disguised +0% WR
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact
2.3%
Counts for Cupid Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
History Depth
Disguised +0.483
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact
1.4%
Counts for Cupid Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Disguised
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Cupid Esports
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output