Rift Legends

Orzel Barczaca Esports vs Forsaken - Rift Legends

Orzel Barczaca Esports Orzel Barczaca Esports
VS
5-1Forsaken Forsaken
May 19, 15:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Orzel Barczaca Esports
Forsaken
FastTree · free model
Orzel Barczaca Esports35.2% Forsaken64.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Orzel Barczaca Esports
Elo Rating 1351
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 8W - 13L (38.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 47.8%
VS
Forsaken
Elo Rating 1506
Tournament Record 5-1 (13-8)
Overall Record 94W - 70L (57.3%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 52.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Forsaken +29.2% expected WR
Impact 29.1%
Forsaken
2
Elo Rating
Forsaken +232 Elo
Impact 26.7%
Forsaken
3
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Forsaken +40% WR
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 8.9%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Win Streak
Forsaken +5 games
Impact 7.1%
Forsaken
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Forsaken +0.095
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 6.4%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
History Depth
Forsaken +0.65
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 5.7%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Forsaken +61
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 4.4%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Forsaken +148
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 3.5%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Forsaken +0.095
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 2.8%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Forsaken +17.4%
Forsaken leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Orzel Barczaca Esports.
Impact 2.5%
Counts for Orzel Barczaca Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Orzel Barczaca Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Forsaken RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (57%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure