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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesKarmine Corp Blue


FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates36.9%
Karmine Corp Blue63.1%
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Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1647
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
56.5%
VS
Karmine Corp BlueElo Rating
1700
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
136W - 84L (61.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
43.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Karmine Corp Blue. TLN Pirates leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Karmine Corp Blue anyway. The rows below are the TLN Pirates edges the model weighs against, not reasons Karmine Corp Blue is ahead.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +9
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
61.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Win Rate
Karmine Corp Blue +4.3% WR
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
7%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +21 Elo
Impact
6.4%
TLN Pirates
4
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +13% WR
Impact
5.1%
TLN Pirates
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +3% expected WR
Impact
3%
TLN Pirates
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp Blue +196
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
2.7%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Karmine Corp Blue +29
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
1.8%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp Blue +442
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
1.8%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
History Depth
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
1.8%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
TLN Pirates +37
Impact
1.8%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Karmine Corp Blue
RED
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure