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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesKarmine Corp Blue


FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates24.8%
Karmine Corp Blue75.2%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1609
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
37W - 29L (56.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
56.9%
VS
Karmine Corp BlueElo Rating
1646
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
129W - 80L (61.7%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
43.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Karmine Corp Blue +313
Impact
63%
Karmine Corp Blue
2
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
TLN Pirates +0% WR
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
7.7%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +18 Elo
Impact
6%
TLN Pirates
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Karmine Corp Blue +1.7%
Impact
4.5%
Karmine Corp Blue
5
H2HWin Rate Weighted
TLN Pirates +13.8% WR
Impact
3.3%
TLN Pirates
6
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +2.6% expected WR
Impact
2.5%
TLN Pirates
7
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +13.8% WR
Impact
2.4%
TLN Pirates
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Karmine Corp Blue +160
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
2.3%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Rate
Karmine Corp Blue +5.7% WR
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
2.1%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.093
Impact
1.9%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Karmine Corp Blue
RED
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure