BIG0-2
VS
May 27, 15:00
Bo3
Series Predictions
BIG
G2 NORD
FastTreeBest in Prime LeagueBest for confidence
67.0%
33.0%
LightGBM
PCA Sweep
FastTree Best in Prime LeagueBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 20% 1/5! Below 65% accuracy in Prime League (sample of 5). This model has been less reliable than usual in this league — weight its call accordingly.
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 71% 206/290
Market · Series prelive
BIG 1.40 · G2 NORD 2.75
BIG G2 NORD
Market Odds 1.40 2.75
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
Berlin International Gaming
Elo Rating 1660
Tournament Record 0-2 (2-6)
Overall Record 106W - 50L (67.9%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 54.1%
VS
G2 NORD
Elo Rating 1733
Tournament Record 3-0 (9-3)
Overall Record 38W - 22L (63.3%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 45.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+55
Impact 48.4% G2 NORD
2
Head-to-Head History
+8.2% WR
Impact 20.3% Berlin International Gaming
3
Elo Rating
+109 Elo
Impact 10.1% G2 NORD
4
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+15.2% expected WR
Impact 7.6% G2 NORD
5
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+118
Impact 6.3% Berlin International Gaming
6
Win Streak
+3 games
Impact 4.7% G2 NORD
7
Win Rate
+4.6% WR
Impact 1.5% Berlin International Gaming
8
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
+41
Impact 1% Berlin International Gaming
Scouting Report
Berlin International Gaming BLUE
Stronger first tower pressure
G2 NORD RED
Higher rated overall