NACL

Supernova vs Winthrop University - NACL

Supernova Supernova
VS
2-0Winthrop University Winthrop University
May 27, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Supernova
Winthrop University
FastTree · free model
Supernova55.1% Winthrop University44.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Supernova
Elo Rating 1398
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 37W - 38L (49.3%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 53.0%
VS
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1452
Tournament Record 2-0 (4-1)
Overall Record 50W - 56L (47.2%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 47.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Supernova +0
Impact 24%
Supernova
2
Head-to-Head History
Supernova +5.9% WR
Impact 16.1%
Supernova
3
Win Streak
Winthrop University +2 games
Impact 13.7%
Winthrop University
4
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Winthrop University +40
Impact 8.9%
Winthrop University
5
Vision Control Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Supernova +0
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 5.8%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
History Depth
Supernova +0
Impact 5.8%
Supernova
7
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Winthrop University +203
Impact 5.4%
Winthrop University
8
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Supernova +0
Impact 5.2%
Supernova
9
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Supernova +24
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 4.1%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Winthrop University +11.4% expected WR
Winthrop University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Supernova.
Impact 4%
Counts for Supernova The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Supernova BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Winthrop University RED
Higher rated overall
Higher first blood rate