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Series Predictions
SupernovaWinthrop University
FastTree
· free model
Supernova58.7%
Winthrop University41.3%
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Head-to-Head & Form
SupernovaElo Rating
1401
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
37W - 38L (49.3%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
52.7%
VS
Winthrop UniversityElo Rating
1432
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-7)
Overall Record
53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
47.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Supernova +0
Impact
58.7%
Supernova
2
Win Rate
Supernova +3.2% WR
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact
6.4%
Counts for Winthrop University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Winthrop University +23
Impact
6%
Winthrop University
4
Elo Rating
Winthrop University +46 Elo
Impact
5.1%
Winthrop University
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Supernova +0
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact
4.1%
Counts for Winthrop University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Winthrop University +0.141
Impact
3.7%
Winthrop University
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Supernova +36
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact
3.2%
Counts for Winthrop University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Winthrop University +6.6% expected WR
Impact
2.9%
Winthrop University
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Winthrop University +0.141
Impact
2.5%
Winthrop University
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Supernova +0
Supernova leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact
2.1%
Counts for Winthrop University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Supernova
BLUE
Stronger first tower pressure
Winthrop University
RED
Higher rated overall
Higher first blood rate