LFL

TLN Pirates vs Galions - LFL

TLN Pirates TLN Pirates3-2
VS
4-0Galions Galions
May 27, 16:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
TLN Pirates
Galions
FastTree · free model
TLN Pirates20.5% Galions79.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN Pirates
Elo Rating 1647
Tournament Record 3-2 (8-8)
Overall Record 46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 28.8%
VS
Galions
Elo Rating 1809
Tournament Record 4-0 (10-1)
Overall Record 155W - 75L (67.4%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 71.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Galions +243 Elo
Impact 32.8%
Galions
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Galions +30.2% expected WR
Impact 17.9%
Galions
3
Head-to-Head History
Galions +42.3% WR
Impact 6.4%
Galions
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Galions +730
Impact 4.7%
Galions
5
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact 4.2%
Counts for Galions The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Galions +82
Impact 3.4%
Galions
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.057
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Galions.
Impact 3.4%
Counts for Galions The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Galions +897
Impact 3%
Galions
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Galions +7.7%
Impact 1.1%
Galions
10
Win Rate
Galions +9.9% WR
Impact 1.1%
Galions
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Galions RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (67%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output