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Series Predictions
SolaryKarmine Corp Blue
FastTree
· free model
Solary83.0%
Karmine Corp Blue17.0%
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Head-to-Head & Form
SolaryElo Rating
1764
Tournament Record
1-2
(3-5)
Overall Record
120W - 65L (64.9%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
69.8%
VS
Karmine Corp BlueElo Rating
1700
Tournament Record
3-2
(9-5)
Overall Record
136W - 84L (61.8%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
30.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Solary +196 Elo
Impact
24.9%
Solary
2
Head-to-Head History
Solary +39.7% WR
Impact
11.9%
Solary
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Solary +0.051
Impact
11.4%
Solary
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +25.5% expected WR
Impact
10.9%
Solary
5
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Solary +328
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
6.8%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Opponent Avg Elo
Solary +0
Impact
6%
Solary
7
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Karmine Corp Blue +16
Karmine Corp Blue leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact
6%
Counts for Solary
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +91
Impact
4.6%
Solary
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Solary +249
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
4.4%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +6.1%
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Karmine Corp Blue.
Impact
3.3%
Counts for Karmine Corp Blue
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Solary
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Karmine Corp Blue
RED
Well-rounded profile