NACL

Winthrop University vs NRG - NACL

Winthrop University Winthrop University2-2
VS
2-2NRG NRG
May 28, 20:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
Winthrop University
NRG
FastTree · free model
Winthrop University31.7% NRG68.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Winthrop University
Elo Rating 1432
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 48.8%
VS
NRG
Elo Rating 1442
Tournament Record 2-2 (7-7)
Overall Record 34W - 19L (64.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 51.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
NRG +4
Impact 54.7%
NRG
2
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
NRG +101
Impact 7.3%
NRG
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Winthrop University +0.087
Impact 6.7%
Winthrop University
4
Elo Rating
NRG +15 Elo
Impact 6.2%
NRG
5
Win Rate
NRG +18.1% WR
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 6.1%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
NRG +43.6%
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 4.9%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Win Streak
Winthrop University +1 games
Impact 4.6%
Winthrop University
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NRG +634
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 3.3%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NRG +2.1% expected WR
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 2.3%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NRG +560
NRG leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact 1.7%
Counts for Winthrop University The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Winthrop University BLUE
Well-rounded profile
NRG RED
Stronger win record (64%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure