CCG Esports vs Winthrop University - NACL
Jun 4, 20:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Winthrop University


FastTree
· free model
CCG Esports43.6%
Winthrop University56.4%
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Head-to-Head & Form
Elo Rating
1361
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
44W - 43L (50.6%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
60.4%
VS
Winthrop UniversityElo Rating
1432
Tournament Record
2-2
(7-7)
Overall Record
53W - 62L (46.1%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
39.6%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
CCG Esports +237
Impact
16.6%
CCG Esports
2
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Winthrop University +156
Winthrop University leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CCG Esports.
Impact
10.8%
Counts for CCG Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Winthrop University +14.9% expected WR
Impact
8.8%
Winthrop University
4
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Winthrop University +0.108
Impact
8.3%
Winthrop University
5
Win Rate
CCG Esports +4.5% WR
CCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Winthrop University.
Impact
7.7%
Counts for Winthrop University
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Rating
Winthrop University +107 Elo
Impact
7.4%
Winthrop University
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Winthrop University +0.108
Impact
7.4%
Winthrop University
8
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Winthrop University +54
Impact
7.1%
Winthrop University
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
CCG Esports +39
Impact
6%
CCG Esports
10
Head-to-Head History
CCG Esports +20.7% WR
Impact
5.4%
CCG Esports
Scouting Report
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Winthrop University
RED
Higher rated overall
Higher first blood rate