Series Predictions
MVK Esports
GAM Esports
FastTreeUncertainBest in LCPBest for confidence
47.8%
52.2%
LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
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FastTree
Best in LCPBest for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LCP
75%
3/4
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
69%
213/309
Market · Series prelive
MVK Esports
2.25
·
GAM Esports
1.57
MVK Esports
GAM Esports
Market Odds
2.25
1.57
FastTree!
Uncertain — this model favours its pick by less than 55% (close to a coin flip). Low-conviction call; weight it accordingly.
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LightGBM
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PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
MVK Esports
Elo Rating
1516
Tournament Record
1-1
(3-5)
Overall Record
22W - 22L (50%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
48.7%
VS
GAM Esports
Elo Rating
1530
Tournament Record
0-1
(1-3)
Overall Record
72W - 71L (50.3%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
51.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
+2.6% WR
Impact
25.5%
GAM Esports
2
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
+138
Impact
19.3%
MVK Esports
3
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
+196
Impact
17%
MVK Esports
4
Win Streak
+1 games
Impact
12.7%
GAM Esports
5
Vision Control
Vision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
+129
Impact
9.6%
MVK Esports
6
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
+3.1% expected WR
Impact
5.1%
GAM Esports
7
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
+10
Impact
5.1%
GAM Esports
8
Elo Rating
+22 Elo
Impact
2.6%
GAM Esports
9
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
+61
Impact
1.9%
MVK Esports
10
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
+73
Impact
1.1%
GAM Esports
Scouting Report
MVK Esports
BLUE
Better dragon control
GAM Esports
RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)