UCAM Esports vs Solary - EMEA Masters

Jun 14, 15:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
UCAM Esports
Solary
FastTree · free model
UCAM Esports13.5% Solary86.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
UCAM Esports
Elo Rating 1622
Tournament Record 4-4 (9-7)
Overall Record 88W - 66L (57.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 34.7%
VS
Solary
Elo Rating 1780
Tournament Record 4-1 (14-5)
Overall Record 125W - 69L (64.4%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 65.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Solary +236 Elo
Impact 25.4%
Solary
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Solary +29.5% expected WR
Impact 14%
Solary
3
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Solary +0.2
Impact 11.8%
Solary
4
Head-to-Head History
Solary +30.6% WR
Impact 9.6%
Solary
5
Opponent Avg Elo
UCAM Esports +0
UCAM Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Solary.
Impact 7.8%
Counts for Solary The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Solary +299
Impact 7.5%
Solary
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Solary +85
Impact 7.5%
Solary
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Solary +35
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UCAM Esports.
Impact 7.4%
Counts for UCAM Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Solary +5.1%
Solary leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward UCAM Esports.
Impact 4%
Counts for UCAM Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Solary +262
Impact 1.5%
Solary
Scouting Report
UCAM Esports BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Solary RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (64%)
Better vision control