FastTree
Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for LRN
75%
12/16
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
70%
578/829
All priced picks
−14.0%
12/16 picks
LightGBM
Series Prediction Accuracy for LRN
75%
12/16
All priced picks
−14.0%
12/16 picks
PCA Sweep
Best in LRN
Series Prediction Accuracy for LRN
76%
13/17
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for LRN
75%
12/16
All priced picks
−14.0%
12/16 picks
Market · Series prelive
NCG Esports
5.50
·
SDM Tigres
1.12
SDM Tigres
1.12
NCG Esports
SDM Tigres
SDM TigresMarket Odds
5.50
1.12
FastTree
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LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
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Head-to-Head & Form
NCG Esports
Elo Rating
1377
Tournament Record
—
Overall Record
12W - 15L (44.4%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
47.7%
VS
SDM Tigres
Elo Rating
1354
Tournament Record
0-1
(2-3)
Overall Record
47W - 36L (56.6%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
52.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Win Streak
NCG Esports +1 games
Impact
34.2%NCG Esports
2
Elo Rating
NCG Esports +33 Elo
Impact
30.9%Fading NCG Esports
3
History Depth
SDM Tigres +0.55
Impact
15.9%SDM Tigres
4
Win Rate
SDM Tigres +12.2% WR
Impact
11.1%Fading SDM Tigres
5
Head-to-Head History
SDM Tigres +4.6% WR
Impact
7.8%Fading SDM Tigres
Scouting Report
NCG Esports
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
SDM Tigres
RED
Stronger win record (57%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control