Make this matchup yours
Create a free account to compare predictions, track your picks and unlock one Premium match view each week.
Three models + ConsensusAdvanced marketsDetailed match analysis
1One free unlock each weekNo payment card required for the weekly report.
Create a free account
Series Predictions
NCG Esports
SDM Tigres
FastTree
· free model
NCG Esports16.4%
SDM Tigres83.6%
Sign in to track this pick
Head-to-Head & Form
NCG Esports
Elo Rating
1372
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
12W - 15L (44.4%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
47.9%
VS
SDM TigresElo Rating
1348
Tournament Record
0-1
(2-3)
Overall Record
47W - 36L (56.6%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
52.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
NCG Esports +14
NCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SDM Tigres.
Impact
29.9%
Counts for SDM Tigres
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NCG Esports +269
NCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SDM Tigres.
Impact
28.8%
Counts for SDM Tigres
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
History Depth
SDM Tigres +0.55
Impact
12.4%
SDM Tigres
4
H2HWin Rate Weighted
SDM Tigres +2.1% WR
Impact
8.3%
SDM Tigres
5
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
NCG Esports +120
Impact
4.6%
NCG Esports
6
Win Rate
SDM Tigres +12.2% WR
SDM Tigres leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NCG Esports.
Impact
3%
Counts for NCG Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
SDM Tigres +236
Impact
2.5%
SDM Tigres
8
Elo Rating
NCG Esports +37 Elo
Impact
2.4%
NCG Esports
9
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NCG Esports +5.3% expected WR
Impact
1.9%
NCG Esports
10
Recent Win RateRecent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
NCG Esports +20% WR
NCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SDM Tigres.
Impact
1.7%
Counts for SDM Tigres
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
NCG Esports
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
SDM Tigres
RED
Stronger win record (57%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control