Kaufland Hangry Knights vs TeamOrangeGaming — Prime League

VS
Jul 8, 17:00
Bo1
Series Predictions
Kaufland Hangry Knights
TeamOrangeGaming
FastTree Best for confidence
35.3%
64.7%
LightGBM Best in Prime League Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 46/68
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 65% 812/1243
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −11.4% 27/43 picks
All priced picks −9.0% 46/68 picks
LightGBM Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 71% 47/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −2.0% 31/46 picks
All priced picks −1.6% 47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 66% 45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 45/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −14.8% 27/44 picks
All priced picks −9.3% 45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
Kaufland Hangry Knights 1.83 · TeamOrangeGaming 1.83
Kaufland Hangry Knights TeamOrangeGaming
Market Odds 1.83 1.83
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Line movement Kaufland Hangry KnightsTeamOrangeGaming
Jul 5 02:001.72 2.00
Jul 8 14:001.83 1.83
Head-to-Head & Form
Kaufland Hangry Knights
Elo Rating 1398
Tournament Record 6-7 (9-11)
Overall Record 50W - 63L (44.2%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 45.0%
VS
TeamOrangeGaming
Elo Rating 1394
Tournament Record 4-9 (6-13)
Overall Record 61W - 62L (49.6%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 55.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
TeamOrangeGaming +10% WR
Impact 32.3%Fading TeamOrangeGaming
2
Elo Rating
Kaufland Hangry Knights +6 Elo
Impact 21.4%Fading Kaufland Hangry Knights
3
History Depth
Kaufland Hangry Knights +0
Impact 20.8%Fading Kaufland Hangry Knights
4
Win Streak
Kaufland Hangry Knights +1 games
Impact 20.6%Kaufland Hangry Knights
5
Win Rate
TeamOrangeGaming +5.3% WR
Impact 5%TeamOrangeGaming
Scouting Report
Kaufland Hangry Knights BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
TeamOrangeGaming RED
Stronger win record (50%)
Better vision control
Better dragon control