VfB eSports vs Eintracht Spandau — Prime League

VS
Jul 8, 18:00
Bo1
Series Predictions
VfB eSports
Eintracht Spandau
FastTree Best for confidence
20.7%
79.3%
LightGBM Best in Prime League Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 46/68
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 70% 578/829
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −11.4% 27/43 picks
All priced picks −9.0% 46/68 picks
LightGBM Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 71% 47/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −2.0% 31/46 picks
All priced picks −1.6% 47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 66% 45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 45/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −14.8% 27/44 picks
All priced picks −9.3% 45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
VfB eSports 3.50 · Eintracht Spandau 1.28
VfB eSports Eintracht Spandau
Market Odds 3.50 1.28
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
VfB eSports
Elo Rating 1318
Tournament Record 3-10 (5-13)
Overall Record 8W - 28L (22.2%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 29.6%
VS
Eintracht Spandau
Elo Rating 1507
Tournament Record 7-6 (11-9)
Overall Record 66W - 60L (52.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 70.4%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Eintracht Spandau +283 Elo
Impact 45.8%Eintracht Spandau
2
Win Streak
VfB eSports +4 games
Impact 35.4%VfB eSports
3
Win Rate
Eintracht Spandau +30.2% WR
Impact 16.6%Eintracht Spandau
4
History Depth
Eintracht Spandau +0.4
Impact 1.2%Eintracht Spandau
Scouting Report
VfB eSports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Eintracht Spandau RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (52%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)