VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs — Prime League
Series Predictions
VfB eSports
ROSSMANN Centaurs
FastTree
Best for confidence
41.2%
58.8%
PCA Sweep
Premium
FastTree
Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League
68%
46/68
Accuracy for confidence level
Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific.
63%
942/1495
+EV ROI
+EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick.
−11.4%
27/43 picks
All priced picks
−9.0%
46/68 picks
LightGBM
Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League
71%
47/66
+EV ROI
+EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick.
−2.0%
31/46 picks
All priced picks
−1.6%
47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League
66%
45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League
68%
45/66
+EV ROI
+EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick.
−14.8%
27/44 picks
All priced picks
−9.3%
45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
VfB eSports
2.62
·
ROSSMANN Centaurs
1.44
ROSSMANN Centaurs
1.44
VfB eSports
ROSSMANN Centaurs
ROSSMANN CentaursMarket Odds
2.62
1.44
FastTree
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LightGBM
Premium
PCA Sweep
Premium
Consensus
ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted).
Premium
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Line movement
VfB eSportsROSSMANN Centaurs
Jul 5 06:002.20
1.61
Jul 9 02:002.37 ▲
1.53 ▼
Jul 9 14:002.62 ▲
1.44 ▼
Head-to-Head & Form
VfB eSports
Elo Rating
1318
Tournament Record
3-10
(5-13)
Overall Record
8W - 28L (22.2%)
Current Streak
2W
H2H Win Rate
47.5%
VS
ROSSMANN Centaurs
Elo Rating
1416
Tournament Record
8-6
(12-10)
Overall Record
57W - 77L (42.5%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
52.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
ROSSMANN Centaurs +145 Elo
Impact
52.4%ROSSMANN Centaurs
2
Win Streak
VfB eSports +1 games
Impact
32.8%VfB eSports
3
Win Rate
ROSSMANN Centaurs +20.3% WR
Impact
11.7%ROSSMANN Centaurs
4
Head-to-Head History
ROSSMANN Centaurs +5% WR
Impact
2.8%Fading ROSSMANN Centaurs
Scouting Report
VfB eSports
BLUE
Well-rounded profile
ROSSMANN Centaurs
RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (43%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)