VfB eSports vs ROSSMANN Centaurs — Prime League

VS
Jul 9, 17:00
Bo1
Series Predictions
VfB eSports
ROSSMANN Centaurs
FastTree Best for confidence
41.2%
58.8%
LightGBM Best in Prime League Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 46/68
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 63% 942/1495
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −11.4% 27/43 picks
All priced picks −9.0% 46/68 picks
LightGBM Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 71% 47/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −2.0% 31/46 picks
All priced picks −1.6% 47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 66% 45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 45/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −14.8% 27/44 picks
All priced picks −9.3% 45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
VfB eSports 2.62 · ROSSMANN Centaurs 1.44
VfB eSports ROSSMANN Centaurs
Market Odds 2.62 1.44
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Line movement VfB eSportsROSSMANN Centaurs
Jul 5 06:002.20 1.61
Jul 9 02:002.37 1.53
Jul 9 14:002.62 1.44
Head-to-Head & Form
VfB eSports
Elo Rating 1318
Tournament Record 3-10 (5-13)
Overall Record 8W - 28L (22.2%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 47.5%
VS
ROSSMANN Centaurs
Elo Rating 1416
Tournament Record 8-6 (12-10)
Overall Record 57W - 77L (42.5%)
Current Streak 1W
H2H Win Rate 52.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
ROSSMANN Centaurs +145 Elo
Impact 52.4%ROSSMANN Centaurs
2
Win Streak
VfB eSports +1 games
Impact 32.8%VfB eSports
3
Win Rate
ROSSMANN Centaurs +20.3% WR
Impact 11.7%ROSSMANN Centaurs
4
Head-to-Head History
ROSSMANN Centaurs +5% WR
Impact 2.8%Fading ROSSMANN Centaurs
Scouting Report
VfB eSports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
ROSSMANN Centaurs RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (43%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better vision control
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)