TeamOrangeGaming vs Berlin International Gaming — Prime League

Series Predictions
TeamOrangeGaming
Berlin International Gaming
FastTree Best for confidence
35.3%
64.7%
LightGBM Best in Prime League Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 46/68
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 65% 812/1243
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −11.4% 27/43 picks
All priced picks −9.0% 46/68 picks
LightGBM Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 71% 47/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −2.0% 31/46 picks
All priced picks −1.6% 47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 66% 45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 45/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −14.8% 27/44 picks
All priced picks −9.3% 45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
TeamOrangeGaming 4.00 · Berlin International Gaming 1.22
TeamOrangeGaming Berlin International Gaming
Market Odds 4.00 1.22
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Head-to-Head & Form
TeamOrangeGaming
Elo Rating 1394
Tournament Record 4-9 (6-13)
Overall Record 61W - 62L (49.6%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 36.8%
VS
Berlin International Gaming
Elo Rating 1529
Tournament Record 10-3 (14-6)
Overall Record 119W - 56L (68%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 63.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Berlin International Gaming +202 Elo
Impact 50.1%Berlin International Gaming
2
Head-to-Head History
Berlin International Gaming +26.3% WR
Impact 35.4%Fading Berlin International Gaming
3
Win Rate
Berlin International Gaming +18.4% WR
Impact 8.8%Berlin International Gaming
4
Win Streak
Berlin International Gaming +4 games
Impact 4.3%Berlin International Gaming
5
History Depth
TeamOrangeGaming +0
Impact 1.5%Fading TeamOrangeGaming
Scouting Report
TeamOrangeGaming BLUE
Better vision control
Berlin International Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (68%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)