VfB eSports vs Eintracht Frankfurt — Prime League

VS
Jul 9, 19:00
Bo1
Series Predictions
VfB eSports
Eintracht Frankfurt
FastTree Best for confidence
35.5%
64.5%
LightGBM Best in Prime League Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
FastTree Best for confidence
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 46/68
Accuracy for confidence level Accuracy for confidence levelHow accurate this model has been across ALL leagues when it predicts with this level of confidence. Thresholds: 55%+, 60%+, 70%+, 80%+. This is not league-specific. 65% 812/1243
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −11.4% 27/43 picks
All priced picks −9.0% 46/68 picks
LightGBM Best in Prime League
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 71% 47/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −2.0% 31/46 picks
All priced picks −1.6% 47/66 picks
PCA Sweep
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 66% 45/68
Consensus
Series Prediction Accuracy for Prime League 68% 45/66
+EV ROI +EV ROIReturn on investment from this model's positive expected value picks in Prime League — the picks where the model's probability beat the market price. Flat 1 unit per pick. −14.8% 27/44 picks
All priced picks −9.3% 45/66 picks
Market · Series prelive
VfB eSports 3.00 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.36
VfB eSports Eintracht Frankfurt
Market Odds 3.00 1.36
LightGBM Premium
PCA Sweep Premium
Consensus ConsensusConsensus = unweighted average of FastTree, LightGBM, and PCA Sweep (each already calibrated and weighted). Premium
Line movement VfB eSportsEintracht Frankfurt
Jul 5 06:003.25 1.33
Jul 9 14:003.00 1.36
Head-to-Head & Form
VfB eSports
Elo Rating 1318
Tournament Record 3-10 (5-13)
Overall Record 8W - 28L (22.2%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 42.3%
VS
Eintracht Frankfurt
Elo Rating 1294
Tournament Record 1-12 (3-16)
Overall Record 32W - 63L (33.7%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate 57.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
VfB eSports +37 Elo
Impact 37.8%Fading VfB eSports
2
Win Streak
VfB eSports +6 games
Impact 34.4%VfB eSports
3
Win Rate
Eintracht Frankfurt +11.5% WR
Impact 13.5%Fading Eintracht Frankfurt
4
History Depth
Eintracht Frankfurt +0.4
Impact 8.8%Eintracht Frankfurt
5
Head-to-Head History
Eintracht Frankfurt +15.4% WR
Impact 5.5%Fading Eintracht Frankfurt
Scouting Report
VfB eSports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Eintracht Frankfurt RED
Stronger win record (34%)
Better vision control
Better dragon control