Esports World Cup

Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI - Esports World Cup

Bilibili Gaming Bilibili Gaming2-1
VS
0-2Movistar KOI Movistar KOI
Jul 15, 10:10·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Bilibili Gaming
Movistar KOI
FastTree · free model
Bilibili Gaming85.4% Movistar KOI14.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Bilibili Gaming
Elo Rating 1849
Tournament Record 2-1 (3-2)
Overall Record 236W - 121L (66.1%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 59.7%
VS
Movistar KOI
Elo Rating 1676
Tournament Record 0-2 (1-3)
Overall Record 139W - 128L (52.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 40.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Bilibili Gaming +173 Elo
Impact 24.7%
Bilibili Gaming
2
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Bilibili Gaming +22
Bilibili Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI.
Impact 14.6%
Counts for Movistar KOI The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Bilibili Gaming +98
Impact 13.7%
Bilibili Gaming
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Bilibili Gaming +23% expected WR
Impact 11.9%
Bilibili Gaming
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Bilibili Gaming +14%
Impact 10.8%
Bilibili Gaming
6
Head-to-Head History
Bilibili Gaming +19.4% WR
Impact 5.9%
Bilibili Gaming
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Bilibili Gaming +0.28
Impact 5.8%
Bilibili Gaming
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Bilibili Gaming +478
Impact 5.4%
Bilibili Gaming
9
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Bilibili Gaming +0.28
Impact 2.4%
Bilibili Gaming
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Movistar KOI +112
Movistar KOI leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Bilibili Gaming.
Impact 1.5%
Counts for Bilibili Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Bilibili Gaming BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (66%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Stronger first tower pressure
Movistar KOI RED
Well-rounded profile