LRN

NCG Esports vs Fuego - LRN

NCG Esports
VS
3-1Fuego
Jul 14, 02:00·Bo3
Series Predictions
NCG Esports
Fuego
FastTree · free model
NCG Esports15.3% Fuego84.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
NCG Esports
Elo Rating 1372
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 12W - 15L (44.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 45.5%
VS
Fuego
Elo Rating 1635
Tournament Record 3-1 (11-3)
Overall Record 71W - 26L (73.2%)
Current Streak 6W
H2H Win Rate 54.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Fuego +393 Elo
Impact 24%
Fuego
2
Early Game Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Fuego +425
Impact 18.5%
Fuego
3
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Fuego +40.6% expected WR
Impact 13.9%
Fuego
4
Win Streak
Fuego +8 games
Impact 12.6%
Fuego
5
Combat Power Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
NCG Esports +172
Impact 6%
NCG Esports
6
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Fuego +43
Impact 5.5%
Fuego
7
Opponent Avg Elo
Fuego +0.083
Fuego leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NCG Esports.
Impact 4.3%
Counts for NCG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Win Rate
Fuego +28.8% WR
Fuego leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NCG Esports.
Impact 4.2%
Counts for NCG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Fuego +0.083
Impact 2.5%
Fuego
10
Recent Win Rate Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Fuego +40% WR
Impact 2.1%
Fuego
Scouting Report
NCG Esports BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Fuego RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (73%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)