NCG Esports vs LYON Academy - LRN

Jul 18, 23:00·Bo3

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Series Predictions
NCG Esports
LYON Academy
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
NCG Esports54.1% LYON Academy45.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
NCG Esports
Elo Rating 1372
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 12W - 15L (44.4%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 40.8%
VS
LYON Academy
Elo Rating 1272
Tournament Record 0-1 (0-3)
Overall Record 21W - 43L (32.8%)
Current Streak 5L
H2H Win Rate 59.2%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
NCG Esports +0
NCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON Academy.
Impact 35.4%
Counts for LYON Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
NCG Esports +150 Elo
Impact 22.5%
NCG Esports
3
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
NCG Esports +20.4% expected WR
Impact 9.3%
NCG Esports
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
NCG Esports +83
NCG Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward LYON Academy.
Impact 7.4%
Counts for LYON Academy The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Rate
NCG Esports +11.6% WR
Impact 5.6%
NCG Esports
6
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
NCG Esports +0
Impact 4%
NCG Esports
7
Opponent Avg Elo
LYON Academy +0.002
LYON Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NCG Esports.
Impact 3.7%
Counts for NCG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
LYON Academy +0.002
LYON Academy leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward NCG Esports.
Impact 2.7%
Counts for NCG Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
NCG Esports +129
Impact 2.5%
NCG Esports
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
NCG Esports +7.8%
Impact 1.7%
NCG Esports
Scouting Report
NCG Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (44%)
Stronger first tower pressure
LYON Academy RED
Well-rounded profile