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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesVitality.Bee


FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates56.4%
Vitality.Bee43.6%
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Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1647
Tournament Record
3-2
(8-8)
Overall Record
46W - 34L (57.5%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
64.7%
VS
Vitality.BeeElo Rating
1470
Tournament Record
0-2
(1-4)
Overall Record
65W - 62L (51.2%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
35.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Vitality.Bee +284
Impact
23.9%
Vitality.Bee
2
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +266 Elo
Impact
16.8%
TLN Pirates
3
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
TLN Pirates +0.2%
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
13%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Head-to-Head History
TLN Pirates +29.5% WR
Impact
8.1%
TLN Pirates
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +32.2% expected WR
Impact
7.3%
TLN Pirates
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +122
Impact
5.7%
TLN Pirates
7
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.288
Impact
5.6%
TLN Pirates
8
Opponent Avg Elo
TLN Pirates +0.288
Impact
5.1%
TLN Pirates
9
Win Rate
TLN Pirates +6.3% WR
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
5%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Vitality.Bee +46
Vitality.Bee leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward TLN Pirates.
Impact
3.8%
Counts for TLN Pirates
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (58%)
Higher damage output
Better dragon control
Vitality.Bee
RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate