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Series Predictions
TLN PiratesVitality.Bee
FastTree
· free model
TLN Pirates42.0%
Vitality.Bee58.0%
Head-to-Head & Form
TLN PiratesElo Rating
1609
Tournament Record
3-2
(8-8)
Overall Record
37W - 29L (56.1%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
66.1%
VS
Vitality.BeeElo Rating
1470
Tournament Record
0-2
(1-4)
Overall Record
65W - 62L (51.2%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
33.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Vitality.Bee +224
Impact
28.2%
Vitality.Bee
2
Elo Rating
TLN Pirates +209 Elo
Impact
17.8%
TLN Pirates
3
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
TLN Pirates +111
Impact
14.1%
TLN Pirates
4
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
TLN Pirates +48
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
12.8%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
TLN Pirates +307
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
11.9%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
TLN Pirates +99
Impact
5.4%
TLN Pirates
7
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
TLN Pirates +26.9% expected WR
Impact
3.5%
TLN Pirates
8
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
TLN Pirates +20% WR
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
2.9%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
Win Streak
TLN Pirates +2 games
TLN Pirates leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Vitality.Bee.
Impact
1.3%
Counts for Vitality.Bee
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule Strength
Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
TLN Pirates +0.241
Impact
1.1%
TLN Pirates
Scouting Report
TLN Pirates
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Higher damage output
Vitality.Bee
RED
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Higher first blood rate