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Series Predictions
SkillcampEsprit Shonen
FastTree
· free model
Uncertain
Skillcamp45.3%
Esprit Shonen54.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
SkillcampElo Rating
1479
Tournament Record
2-2
(4-6)
Overall Record
28W - 56L (33.3%)
Current Streak
3L
H2H Win Rate
48.5%
VS
Esprit ShonenElo Rating
1340
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
52W - 42L (55.3%)
Current Streak
11L
H2H Win Rate
51.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors Esprit Shonen. Skillcamp leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors Esprit Shonen anyway. The rows below are the Skillcamp edges the model weighs against, not reasons Esprit Shonen is ahead.
1
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Skillcamp +710
Skillcamp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact
33.5%
Counts for Esprit Shonen
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Skillcamp +573
Impact
19.7%
Skillcamp
3
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Skillcamp +8.8%
Skillcamp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact
10.3%
Counts for Esprit Shonen
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
History Depth
Skillcamp +1
Skillcamp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact
8.7%
Counts for Esprit Shonen
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo Rating
Skillcamp +209 Elo
Impact
8.6%
Skillcamp
6
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Skillcamp +20
Impact
7.3%
Skillcamp
7
Win Streak
Skillcamp +8 games
Impact
2.6%
Skillcamp
8
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Skillcamp +26.9% expected WR
Impact
1.9%
Skillcamp
9
Team Strength
Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Skillcamp +617
Impact
1.8%
Skillcamp
10
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Skillcamp +52
Skillcamp leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Esprit Shonen.
Impact
1.6%
Counts for Esprit Shonen
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Skillcamp
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Better vision control
Esprit Shonen
RED
Stronger win record (55%)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control