KeSPA Cup

HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - KeSPA Cup

HANJIN BRION HANJIN BRION3-4
VS
0-5Dplus KIA Dplus KIA
Jul 27, 10:30·Bo1

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Series Predictions
HANJIN BRION
Dplus KIA
FastTree · free model
HANJIN BRION55.7% Dplus KIA44.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
HANJIN BRION
Elo Rating 1637
Tournament Record 3-4 (5-6)
Overall Record 54W - 76L (41.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 32.5%
VS
Dplus KIA
Elo Rating 1812
Tournament Record 0-5 (0-5)
Overall Record 176W - 139L (55.9%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 67.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
Contrarian call - fading the favorite
No single stat favors HANJIN BRION. Dplus KIA leads nearly every metric below, but the model reads that profile as one that tends to lose here - so it favors HANJIN BRION anyway. The rows below are the Dplus KIA edges the model weighs against, not reasons HANJIN BRION is ahead.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Dplus KIA +50
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 30.5%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Dplus KIA +86
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 19.2%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
Dplus KIA +176 Elo
Impact 14.5%
Dplus KIA
4
Head-to-Head History
Dplus KIA +35.1% WR
Impact 6.2%
Dplus KIA
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Dplus KIA +23.3% expected WR
Impact 6%
Dplus KIA
6
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Dplus KIA +0.011
Impact 5.5%
Dplus KIA
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Dplus KIA +0.3%
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 5.5%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Dplus KIA +0.011
Impact 4%
Dplus KIA
9
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Dplus KIA +57
Impact 3.9%
Dplus KIA
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Dplus KIA +211
Impact 2.1%
Dplus KIA
Scouting Report
HANJIN BRION BLUE
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Dplus KIA RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)