KeSPA Cup

HANJIN BRION vs Dplus KIA - KeSPA Cup

HANJIN BRION HANJIN BRION3-4
VS
0-5Dplus KIA Dplus KIA
Jul 27, 10:30·Bo1
Series Predictions
HANJIN BRION
Dplus KIA
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
HANJIN BRION46.2% Dplus KIA53.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
HANJIN BRION
Elo Rating 1565
Tournament Record 3-4 (5-6)
Overall Record 45W - 69L (39.5%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 31.3%
VS
Dplus KIA
Elo Rating 1757
Tournament Record 0-5 (0-5)
Overall Record 174W - 139L (55.6%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate 68.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Dplus KIA +192 Elo
Impact 21.4%
Dplus KIA
2
History Depth
HANJIN BRION +1
Impact 18.1%
HANJIN BRION
3
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Dplus KIA +25.2% expected WR
Impact 12.7%
Dplus KIA
4
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Dplus KIA +0.01
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 11%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Opponent Avg Elo
Dplus KIA +0.01
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 8.6%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Composite Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Dplus KIA +59
Impact 7.6%
Dplus KIA
7
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Dplus KIA +246
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 6%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
Dplus KIA +37.5% WR
Impact 4.7%
Dplus KIA
9
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Dplus KIA +2.6%
Dplus KIA leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward HANJIN BRION.
Impact 2.5%
Counts for HANJIN BRION The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
H2HWin Rate Weighted
Dplus KIA +37.5% WR
Impact 2.4%
Dplus KIA
Scouting Report
HANJIN BRION BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Dplus KIA RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (56%)