KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce vs T1 - KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce Nongshim RedForce5-2
VS
5-3T1 T1
Aug 3, 10:30·Bo1
Series Predictions
Nongshim RedForce
T1
FastTree · free model
Nongshim RedForce40.5% T159.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim RedForce
Elo Rating 1585
Tournament Record 5-2 (6-5)
Overall Record 99W - 142L (41.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 39.1%
VS
T1
Elo Rating 1733
Tournament Record 5-3 (8-7)
Overall Record 217W - 136L (61.5%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 60.9%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
T1 +225
T1 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 38.2%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
T1 +147 Elo
Impact 16.4%
T1
3
Opponent Avg Elo
T1 +0.24
Impact 9%
T1
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
T1 +20% expected WR
Impact 8%
T1
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
T1 +42
Impact 6.5%
T1
6
Win Rate
T1 +20.4% WR
Impact 6.5%
T1
7
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
T1 +128
Impact 3.2%
T1
8
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
T1 +138
Impact 2.5%
T1
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
T1 +287
T1 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 2.3%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
T1 +0.24
Impact 1.9%
T1
Scouting Report
Nongshim RedForce BLUE
Well-rounded profile
T1 RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (61%)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Better dragon control