KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce vs T1 - KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce Nongshim RedForce5-2
VS
5-3T1 T1
Aug 3, 10:30·Bo1

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Series Predictions
Nongshim RedForce
T1
FastTree · free model
Nongshim RedForce57.3% T142.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim RedForce
Elo Rating 1585
Tournament Record 5-2 (6-5)
Overall Record 99W - 142L (41.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 39.7%
VS
T1
Elo Rating 1807
Tournament Record 5-3 (8-7)
Overall Record 221W - 137L (61.7%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 60.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Nongshim RedForce +5
Impact 41.3%
Nongshim RedForce
2
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
T1 +288
T1 leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 15.9%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
3
Elo Rating
T1 +222 Elo
Impact 15.1%
T1
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
T1 +28.2% expected WR
Impact 9.3%
T1
5
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
T1 +20.6%
Impact 5.1%
T1
6
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
T1 +57
Impact 3.3%
T1
7
Head-to-Head History
T1 +20.6% WR
Impact 2.8%
T1
8
Opponent Avg Elo
T1 +0.239
Impact 2.2%
T1
9
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
T1 +432
Impact 1.8%
T1
Scouting Report
Nongshim RedForce BLUE
Well-rounded profile
T1 RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (62%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better dragon control