Kits Esports vs SDM Tigres - LRN

Aug 11, 23:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
Kits Esports
SDM Tigres
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Kits Esports50.2% SDM Tigres49.8%
Head-to-Head & Form
Kits Esports
Elo Rating 1387
Tournament Record 1-2 (4-8)
Overall Record 11W - 16L (40.7%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 62.5%
VS
SDM Tigres
Elo Rating 1348
Tournament Record 0-1 (2-3)
Overall Record 47W - 36L (56.6%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 37.5%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Head-to-Head History
Kits Esports +24.9% WR
Kits Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SDM Tigres.
Impact 15.8%
Counts for SDM Tigres The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Objective Control Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Kits Esports +15
Impact 12.5%
Kits Esports
3
Win Rate
SDM Tigres +15.9% WR
Impact 11.5%
SDM Tigres
4
Team Strength Team StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
SDM Tigres +79
SDM Tigres leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Kits Esports.
Impact 10.2%
Counts for Kits Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Streak
Kits Esports +2 games
Impact 9.5%
Kits Esports
6
Upset Rate Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
SDM Tigres +6.2%
Impact 9.5%
SDM Tigres
7
Expected Win Rate Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Kits Esports +8.3% expected WR
Impact 6.1%
Kits Esports
8
Elo Rating
Kits Esports +59 Elo
Kits Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward SDM Tigres.
Impact 6%
Counts for SDM Tigres The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
9
History Depth
SDM Tigres +0.55
Impact 5.9%
SDM Tigres
10
Schedule Strength Schedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Kits Esports +0.138
Impact 4.2%
Kits Esports
Scouting Report
Kits Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
SDM Tigres RED
Stronger win record (57%)
Higher first blood rate
Stronger first tower pressure