KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce vs DN SOOPers - KeSPA Cup

Nongshim RedForce Nongshim RedForce5-2
VS
8-4DN SOOPers DN SOOPers
Aug 18, 09:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Nongshim RedForce
DN SOOPers
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Nongshim RedForce50.4% DN SOOPers49.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Nongshim RedForce
Elo Rating 1585
Tournament Record 5-2 (6-5)
Overall Record 99W - 142L (41.1%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 42.0%
VS
DN SOOPers
Elo Rating 1763
Tournament Record 8-4 (17-8)
Overall Record 49W - 78L (38.6%)
Current Streak 2W
H2H Win Rate 58.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
DN SOOPers +61
DN SOOPers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 25.5%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
2
Elo Rating
DN SOOPers +177 Elo
Impact 11.1%
DN SOOPers
3
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
DN SOOPers +92
DN SOOPers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 10.1%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
DN SOOPers +23.5% expected WR
Impact 8.7%
DN SOOPers
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
DN SOOPers +0.064
Impact 8.1%
DN SOOPers
6
Win Rate
Nongshim RedForce +2.5% WR
Impact 7.5%
Nongshim RedForce
7
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
DN SOOPers +2.7%
DN SOOPers leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Nongshim RedForce.
Impact 7.3%
Counts for Nongshim RedForce The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
8
Head-to-Head History
DN SOOPers +16.1% WR
Impact 5%
DN SOOPers
9
Opponent Avg Elo
DN SOOPers +0.064
Impact 4.8%
DN SOOPers
10
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
DN SOOPers +83
Impact 3.9%
DN SOOPers
Scouting Report
Nongshim RedForce BLUE
Stronger first tower pressure
DN SOOPers RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)