Sep 5, 06:00·Bo5
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Series Predictions
Invictus GamingTop Esports
FastTree
· free model
Invictus Gaming37.4%
Top Esports62.6%
Head-to-Head & Form
Invictus GamingElo Rating
1752
Tournament Record
4-0
(12-3)
Overall Record
135W - 120L (52.9%)
Current Streak
5W
H2H Win Rate
49.3%
VS
Top EsportsElo Rating
1621
Tournament Record
0-2
(4-6)
Overall Record
187W - 132L (58.6%)
Current Streak
1L
H2H Win Rate
50.7%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
Invictus Gaming +131 Elo
Impact
19.2%
Invictus Gaming
2
Win Rate
Top Esports +5.7% WR
Impact
13%
Top Esports
3
Upset Rate
Upset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +12.9%
Impact
11.9%
Top Esports
4
Combat Power
Combat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Invictus Gaming +41
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
8.4%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Win Streak
Invictus Gaming +6 games
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
6.6%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
6
Elo Composite
Elo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Invictus Gaming +54
Impact
6.3%
Invictus Gaming
7
Objective Control
Objective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Top Esports +11
Impact
5.4%
Top Esports
8
Expected Win Rate
Expected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Invictus Gaming +18% expected WR
Impact
5.1%
Invictus Gaming
9
Early Game
Early GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Invictus Gaming +237
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
4.6%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Recent Win Rate
Recent Win RateWin rate over the last 5 matches - the most direct measure of current form, faster-reacting than season-long stats.
Invictus Gaming +60% WR
Invictus Gaming leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Top Esports.
Impact
4.4%
Counts for Top Esports
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Invictus Gaming
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
Top Esports
RED
Stronger win record (59%)