LPL Regional Bracket

Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - LPL Regional

Top Esports Top Esports
VS
Invictus Gaming Invictus Gaming
Sep 17, 09:00·Bo5
Series Edge Premium Bo5Patch 16.17Updates after every game
Top Esports
Better draft expected Premium Better draft expectedWhich roster is expected to get the better draft on this patch, from pool depth and the current meta. A house read, not any single model's number. See which side, and whether the market agrees
Invictus Gaming
Champion pool edge Each roster's go-to champions for this series and how deep its meta pool runs.
Highest impact champions this seriesPremium
Highest impact champions this series The five champions that swing this series most, with who plays them and how it has gone.
Series Predictions
Top Esports
Invictus Gaming
FastTree · free model
Top Esports42.5% Invictus Gaming57.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
Top Esports
Elo Rating 1621
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 187W - 132L (58.6%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 50.7%
VS
Invictus Gaming
Elo Rating 1715
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 137W - 123L (52.7%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate 49.3%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Top Esports +14
Impact 18.1%
Top Esports
2
Elo Rating
Invictus Gaming +94 Elo
Impact 16.7%
Invictus Gaming
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Invictus Gaming +199
Impact 11.5%
Invictus Gaming
4
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Invictus Gaming +298
Impact 11%
Invictus Gaming
5
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Top Esports +0.072
Impact 10.6%
Top Esports
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Top Esports +12.5%
Impact 9.1%
Top Esports
7
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Invictus Gaming +49
Impact 9%
Invictus Gaming
8
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Invictus Gaming +13.2% expected WR
Impact 7%
Invictus Gaming
9
Head-to-Head History
Top Esports +1.4% WR
Impact 2.5%
Top Esports
10
Vision ControlVision ControlA combined vision signal blending vision score, vision wards per minute, and vision efficiency.
Top Esports +186
Top Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Invictus Gaming.
Impact 2.4%
Counts for Invictus Gaming The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Top Esports BLUE
Stronger win record (59%)
Invictus Gaming RED
Higher rated overall
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)