Sep 22, 06:00·Bo1
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Series Predictions
Movistar KOI FénixBilibili Gaming Junior
FastTree
· free model
Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI FenixElo Rating
1701
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
55W - 22L (71.4%)
Current Streak
4W
H2H Win Rate
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VS
BLG JuniorElo Rating
1400
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
1W - 1L (50%)
Current Streak
1W
H2H Win Rate
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Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI Fenix +43.1% expected WR
Impact
23.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
2
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI Fenix +452 Elo
Impact
18.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI Fenix +116
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward BLG Junior.
Impact
15.2%
Counts for BLG Junior
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI Fenix +1%
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward BLG Junior.
Impact
15.1%
Counts for BLG Junior
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI Fenix +226
Impact
12.9%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Movistar KOI Fenix +202
Impact
3.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Win Streak
Movistar KOI Fenix +3 games
Impact
2.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
8
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI Fenix +0
Impact
2.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
9
Head-to-Head History
Movistar KOI Fenix +0% WR
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward BLG Junior.
Impact
2%
Counts for BLG Junior
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
BLG Junior +0.007
BLG Junior leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Movistar KOI Fenix.
Impact
1.5%
Counts for Movistar KOI Fenix
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI Fenix
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Higher damage output
Stronger early game (gold lead at 15)
BLG Junior
RED
Higher first blood rate
Better dragon control