Sep 22, 11:00·Bo1
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Series Predictions
Movistar KOI FénixCTBC Flying Oyster Academy
FastTree
· free model
Movistar KOI Fénix61.3%
CTBC Flying Oyster Academy38.7%
Head-to-Head & Form
Movistar KOI FenixElo Rating
1701
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
55W - 22L (71.4%)
Current Streak
4W
H2H Win Rate
59.9%
VS
CFO AcademyElo Rating
1656
Tournament Record
–
Overall Record
49W - 48L (50.5%)
Current Streak
2L
H2H Win Rate
40.1%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
CFO Academy +0.359
Impact
29.2%
CFO Academy
2
Win Rate
Movistar KOI Fenix +20.9% WR
Impact
19.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Movistar KOI Fenix +44
Movistar KOI Fenix leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward CFO Academy.
Impact
9.4%
Counts for CFO Academy
The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Movistar KOI Fenix +9.6% expected WR
Impact
7.3%
Movistar KOI Fenix
5
Elo Rating
Movistar KOI Fenix +68 Elo
Impact
5.1%
Movistar KOI Fenix
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Movistar KOI Fenix +13.1%
Impact
4.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
7
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Movistar KOI Fenix +100
Impact
4.5%
Movistar KOI Fenix
8
Combat PowerCombat PowerA combined combat signal blending damage to champions, damage per minute, and teamfight power.
Movistar KOI Fenix +311
Impact
4.2%
Movistar KOI Fenix
9
Objective ControlObjective ControlA combined objective control signal blending dragons, heralds, and barons taken per game.
Movistar KOI Fenix +456
Impact
3.6%
Movistar KOI Fenix
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Movistar KOI Fenix +0
Impact
3.4%
Movistar KOI Fenix
Scouting Report
Movistar KOI Fenix
BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Higher first blood rate
CFO Academy
RED
Well-rounded profile