FlyQuest vs Shopify Rebellion - LCS

Sep 25, 20:00·Bo5
Series Predictions
FlyQuest
Shopify Rebellion
FastTree · free model
FlyQuest73.5% Shopify Rebellion26.5%
Head-to-Head & Form
FlyQuest
Elo Rating 1502
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-3)
Overall Record 103W - 68L (60.2%)
Current Streak 3L
H2H Win Rate 72.0%
VS
Shopify Rebellion
Elo Rating 1350
Tournament Record 1-1 (3-5)
Overall Record 42W - 75L (35.9%)
Current Streak 3W
H2H Win Rate 28.0%
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Elo Rating
FlyQuest +152 Elo
Impact 18.8%
FlyQuest
2
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
FlyQuest +20.6% expected WR
Impact 18.6%
FlyQuest
3
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
FlyQuest +117
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 17.1%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
FlyQuest +100
Impact 11.1%
FlyQuest
5
Opponent Avg Elo
FlyQuest +0
Impact 6.5%
FlyQuest
6
Win Streak
Shopify Rebellion +6 games
Impact 6%
Shopify Rebellion
7
Win Rate
FlyQuest +24.3% WR
Impact 5.2%
FlyQuest
8
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
FlyQuest +548
Impact 3.8%
FlyQuest
9
Head-to-Head History
FlyQuest +44% WR
FlyQuest leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Shopify Rebellion.
Impact 3.1%
Counts for Shopify Rebellion The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
10
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
FlyQuest +17.4%
Impact 2.9%
FlyQuest
Scouting Report
FlyQuest BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (60%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Stronger first tower pressure
Better dragon control
Shopify Rebellion RED
Well-rounded profile