Disguised vs Fuego - LCS

Oct 9, 20:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Disguised
Fuego
FastTree · free model
Disguised80.1% Fuego19.9%
Head-to-Head & Form
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Fuego
Elo Rating 1523
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 72W - 31L (69.9%)
Current Streak 2L
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Opponent Avg Elo
Disguised +0.309
Impact 32.4%
Disguised
2
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Disguised +0.309
Impact 29.4%
Disguised
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Fuego +16
Fuego leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 18.3%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
4
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Fuego +34% expected WR
Impact 7.8%
Fuego
5
Elo Rating
Fuego +288 Elo
Impact 6%
Fuego
6
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Fuego +28.9%
Impact 1.7%
Fuego
7
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Fuego +1440
Impact 1.5%
Fuego
Scouting Report
Disguised BLUE
Well-rounded profile
Fuego RED
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (70%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output