LCS

Cupid Esports vs Disguised - LCS

Cupid Esports Cupid Esports
VS
Disguised Disguised
Oct 10, 20:00·Bo5

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Series Predictions
Cupid Esports
Disguised
FastTree · free model
Uncertain
Cupid Esports54.7% Disguised45.3%
Head-to-Head & Form
Cupid Esports
Elo Rating 1579
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 22W - 9L (71%)
Current Streak 1L
H2H Win Rate ---
VS
Disguised
Elo Rating 1247
Tournament Record –
Overall Record 26W - 64L (28.9%)
Current Streak 4L
H2H Win Rate ---
Main Prediction Drivers
Impact = how much this feature shifts the model's win probability. The value below each name is how much better the favored team is on that feature.
1
Schedule StrengthSchedule StrengthThe average Elo of opponents this team has faced. A 60% win rate against strong opponents is more impressive than against weak ones.
Disguised +0.05
Impact 33.3%
Disguised
2
Elo Rating
Cupid Esports +372 Elo
Impact 14.7%
Cupid Esports
3
Elo CompositeElo CompositeA combined Elo signal that blends raw Elo, expected win rate, and the interaction between them.
Cupid Esports +264
Impact 13.3%
Cupid Esports
4
Win Streak
Cupid Esports +3 games
Cupid Esports leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Disguised.
Impact 12%
Counts for Disguised The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
5
Expected Win RateExpected Win RateThe model's expected win probability based on Elo difference alone.
Cupid Esports +39.5% expected WR
Impact 9.8%
Cupid Esports
6
Team StrengthTeam StrengthA combined team strength signal blending overall win rate, KDA, and gold per minute.
Cupid Esports +1397
Impact 4.1%
Cupid Esports
7
Head-to-Head History
Cupid Esports +0% WR
Impact 3%
Cupid Esports
8
Upset RateUpset RateHow often this team wins as the Elo underdog - captures clutch factor / ability to beat stronger teams.
Cupid Esports +28.9%
Impact 3%
Cupid Esports
9
Early GameEarly GameA combined early-game signal blending gold, CS, and XP differentials at the 15-minute mark.
Cupid Esports +890
Impact 2.3%
Cupid Esports
10
Opponent Avg Elo
Disguised +0.05
Disguised leads this stat - but weighed with the rest of this matchup, it shifts the model toward Cupid Esports.
Impact 2.1%
Counts for Cupid Esports The model weighs every driver together rather than one at a time. A team can lead a single stat here and still see the full matchup point the other way - this row is being outweighed by the rest of the picture, not ignored.
Scouting Report
Cupid Esports BLUE
Higher rated overall
Stronger win record (71%)
Cleaner teamfighting (better KDA)
Better gold generation
Higher damage output
Disguised RED
Well-rounded profile